Accretion Dilution Tool

Free

This is a simple accretion dilution model template Excel model to quickly calculate if an acquisition will create value for a public company (or not).

  • Excel model
  • Public market analysis
  • Example data
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What

What Is an Accretion Dilution Tool?

An Accretion Dilution model is a financial tool used in the context of merger and acquisition (M&A) deals. It quantitatively assesses the impact of an acquisition on a company’s earnings per share (EPS). By considering factors such as financing structure, synergies, costs, and other deal-related variables, the model calculates whether the acquisition will result in an increase (accretion) or decrease (dilution) in EPS for the acquiring company. This analysis aids in decision-making, valuation, and communication with stakeholders, providing a clear and numerical basis to understand the potential financial effect of a merger or acquisition.

Accretion/dilution analysis tries to answer an important question when it comes to corporate acquisitions – does the deal create or destroy value for the shareholders of the buyer? It shows this numerically.

The accretion/dilution analysis is typically undertaken by analysts at an investment bank (and presented by the MDs), or works in a corporate development team. In more nerdy terms, it’s a type of M&A financial modelling performed during the pre-deal phase to evaluate the effect of the transaction on shareholder value and to check whether EPS for buying shareholders will increase or decrease post-deal.

Um. EPS? That’s your earnings per share. It’s a really critical number public execs, analysts and shareholders track.

Like everything in life, it’s not theoretically hard to figure out if you have the right tools and the inputs to hand. You can make this as complicated or simple as you like. I like simplicity.

This is a simple model I did years back for fun whilst making a template to look at the effect of the SGX (Singapore Stock Exchange) acquiring the ASX (Australian Stock Exchange). It was in the news in 2010, so it seemed like something contemporary to base the template on.

who

Who Needs an Accretion Dilution Tool?

Everyone in startup-related land needs to know about this topic. So whether you are a founder, investor or advisor, why not have a little play with this!

Investors

  • Smart Choices: If you’re investing in public companies, you want to know how mergers and acquisitions will affect your money. The Accretion Dilution analysis helps you decide whether the deal will make the company’s earnings go up (good) or down (not so good).
  • Spotting Risks: We all want to avoid nasty surprises. This analysis helps you figure out the risks tied to a merger or acquisition by looking at different “what if” scenarios. No more getting caught off guard.
  • Seeing the Future: Curious about how well the company will do after the deal? This analysis gives you a sneak peek into how the company’s earnings might change down the road. Is the deal a boost or a buzzkill for growth? You’ll know.
  • Getting the Real Value: If you’re into crunching numbers, this is for you. It helps you put a proper price tag on the company by considering how the deal could affect its earnings. No more guessing games.
  • Comparing the Best Bets: If you’re choosing between different companies to invest in, this analysis helps you compare their deals. Which company’s strategy seems more likely to make your investment worth more? You’ll get the scoop.
  • Talk the Talk: When you chat with the company’s bosses, you’ll sound like a pro. You can ask about how the deal fits into their big plan and show you’re paying attention to the nitty-gritty details.
  • Know the Risks: No one likes losing money. This analysis shines a light on the risks that could lead to earnings going down instead of up. It helps you weigh the chances of winning or losing.

Bankers

  • Deal Smarts: M&A bankers are all about making deals happen. This analysis helps them figure out if the deal will pump up or shrink a company’s earnings per share (EPS). If it’s a good deal, they’re the heroes.
  • Risk Control: No one wants a deal that blows up. This analysis lets bankers play with different “what if” scenarios to see what might mess up the earnings boost. Better to catch those risks upfront.
  • Selling the Vision: Bankers need to convince their clients that the deal is a golden ticket. This analysis shows how the company’s earnings could change post-deal, which makes the sales pitch more convincing.
  • Deal Dollars: Numbers talk in the banking world. This analysis helps bankers slap a price tag on the deal by showing how it could impact earnings. No more blind guessing on the deal’s value.
  • Best Deal Choice: When bankers have a bunch of potential targets, this analysis helps them choose the juiciest one. Which deal is likely to pump up the EPS and make everyone happy? This analysis knows.
  • Talk the Talk: When they chat with clients, bankers can drop their knowledge. They can chat about how the deal will boost EPS and make the financial gears turn. It’s like speaking the secret language of deals.
  • Risk Radar: Bankers want smooth deals, not trainwrecks. This analysis flashes warning lights on potential risks that could drag down earnings. Better to fix them before they become deal-breakers.

Details

What Does the Tool Look Like?

Here are a few images to have a little gander at for your viewing pleasure.

Need

Why Do You Need an Accretion Dilution Tool?

  1. 1

    Assessing Value Impact

    • M&A deals involve combining two companies, and one major concern is whether the deal will create or destroy shareholder value.
    • The Accretion Dilution model helps to quantitatively evaluate how the deal will impact the acquiring company’s earnings per share (EPS), which is a key measure of value for shareholders.
  2. 2

    EPS Impact

    • EPS reflects a company’s profitability on a per-share basis.
    • The Accretion Dilution model helps calculate the potential change in EPS after the merger. If the EPS increases post-merger, the deal is said to be accretive; if it decreases, it’s dilutive.
    • This information is crucial for both company management and investors.
  3. 3

    Factoring in Financing

    • The model considers the financing structure of the deal, including the mix of cash, debt, and stock used to fund the acquisition.
    • The cost of financing affects the overall financial impact of the deal on the acquiring company’s EPS.
  4. 4

    Synergies and Costs

    • M&A deals are often justified by the potential synergies between the two companies, such as cost savings, increased market share, or complementary capabilities.
    • The model incorporates these expected synergies, as well as any associated integration costs.
  5. 5

    Comparative Analysis

    • The Accretion Dilution model provides a way to compare different acquisition scenarios or potential targets.
    • By inputting the financials of various targets, acquirers can identify which deals are likely to enhance their EPS and which might dilute it.
  6. 6

    Decision Making

    • The model aids in the decision-making process by providing a quantitative basis to assess the financial implications of the deal.
    • This helps management and boards make informed choices about whether to proceed with the acquisition, negotiate better terms, or explore alternatives.
  7. 7

    Investor Communication

    • Shareholders and investors want to understand how a merger or acquisition will affect their investment.
    • The model’s output, showing the potential change in EPS, can be used to communicate the financial impact to stakeholders in a clear and transparent manner.
  8. 8

    Negotiation Tool

    • During negotiations, both the acquiring and target companies can use the model to estimate the impact of different deal terms on EPS.
    • This information can be instrumental in reaching mutually agreeable terms.

features

What Can the Model Do?

These are some of the features in the model.

Range of Values

See how a deal can be structured and might perform

  • Range of values analysis
  • 13 scenarios

See the Numbers Used

See how the model is filled in

  • P&L data
  • Separately in 2 sheets

Table on Different Sheet

Learn how tables can be on another sheet

  • Normally tables have to be on the same sheet as the inputs
  • I invented a way around this. Learn how!
  • 7 tables

Need

Why Is My Tool Worth Getting

  1. 1

    I Make Cool Things (and am capable)

    • There is a lot of blah around by people who aren’t terribly good at Excel/PowerPoint etc
    • You’ll see the attention to detail and actual thought put into what I gift you (so you aren’t wasting your time)
  2. 2

    My Free Tools Are Better Than What Some Charge For

    • I only made tools because I couldn’t find anything I would use myself
    • Even if you don’t ‘actually need the tool’, the point is to teach you concepts you can apply
  3. 3

    I Don’t Have a Hardcore Marketing Funnel

    • I make tools to actually help founders
    • You aren’t going to be hounded with emails to get you to buy things
    • Whilst I do sell some stuff, seeing the quality I give for free is way better marketing than using fancy words to convince you

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Watch a Video on the Tool

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Guide

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Other Related Tools

You’re busy, so there are other great tools that I’ve made that might be of use to you. Here are some you can check out if you would like.

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Access

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FAQs

Check the FAQs if you are having issues. Don’t message me if “I can’t download the file”.

Is this free?

Yes.

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So go there first to find the file.

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Reading

Looking For Some Recommended Reading?

Here are some blogs you can check out related to this topic:

LBO Examples

Investment Banking Slide Examples of LBOs

View

Accretion Dilution Slides

Investment Banking Slide Examples of Accretion Dilution

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